Saturday, June 30, 2012

A (Realistic) Free Agency Preview - Part Two

On the eve of free agency, the Bulls' possibilities are almost as limitless as Bradley Cooper in that one movie. Unfortunately, their checkbook isn't quite that expansive. With the Bulls currently sitting more than $4 million above last year's luxury-tax threshold of around $70 million, it seems that they'll end up with only the smaller $3 million taxpayer mid-level exception and the veteran minimum to offer free agents.

Mat thinks the Bulls will be able to add one piece of note and perhaps take a gamble on a potential high-reward wing player willing to take a lower salary figure: a Brandon Roy, a Michael Redd, a Tracy McGrady. It's hard to pin down which of the many reclamation products the Bulls favor, but it's easier to predict the other player they'll add.

In his post-draft press conference, Gar Foreman mentioned the need to find a point guard in free agency. This did more than depress C.J. Watson; it confirmed the widespread belief that the Bulls would target a veteran to fill the void left by Derrick Rose while he's recovering from injury.

Considering the fact that Derrick Rose will eventually come back, the drafting of Marquis Teague, the potential void in the two-guard rotation left by the departure of Ronnie Brewer and the inevitable injuries of Rip Hamilton, Mat sees the Bulls going for a guy who can play the 1 and the 2.

Steve Nash is the pipe dream, but odds of him taking a steep discount to play with the Bulls are practically zero. Jason Kidd, who Mat likes, might also see himself priced out of the Bulls' range. He's reportedly only interested in signing as Deron Williams's back-up, which rules him out. High-profile veterans like Andre Miller and Chauncey Billups will probably be too expensive, too.

KC Johnson has reported that the Bulls have looked into Kirk Hinrich and Delonte West, which seems like the team's most realistic options. Hinrich has a history with the team, can shoot the three and seems a very Thibodeau-ian player, but he's been downright lousy the past few years. West is a talented headcase who also has a history with Thibodeau. Either fits the "veteran combo guard" mold, and they seem like the two most likely additions for the team. Other realistic possibilities, like Randy Foye or Jonny Flynn, don't exactly whet the appetite.

Ultimately, Mat thinks Hinrich will be the man. He's a higher-character guy, he's a known quantity for the Bulls, he's an outstanding defender, and he'll come cheaper. West could, very easily, command more than $3 million. Hinrich could potentially sign for as cheap as a two-year deal at the $1.3 million veteran minimum salary, freeing up money for the Bulls to target a Brandon Roy.

So, to recap: Mat sees the Bulls roster panning out like this:

[Rose]/Hinrich/Teague
Hamilton/Hinrich/[Reclamation Project] OR [Minimum Salary Player]
Deng/Korver/Butler
Boozer/Gibson
Noah/Asik

A (Realistic) Free Agency Preview - Part One

While the Bulls aren't expected to make any radical moves this offseason, Free Agency Eve still represents calm before the storm. The Bulls have a number of holes in their roster, and a seemingly infinite number of solutions exist to help fill those holes.

Mat took a look first at the players who were on the team last year who either are or could be free agents this summer. This does not necessarily reflect his opinion of these players; he is merely predicting what the Bulls' front office will do. (All contract information sourced from ShamSports.com.)

-

Bye-bye, C.J. Watson. The drafting of Marquis Teague almost certainly guaranteed your demise. John Lucas III will probably be gone too, off making too much money for someone else.

The Bulls' shooting guard situation remains a big question mark, and yet, Mat fully expects Ronnie Brewer to be released from the non-guaranteed final year of his contract. Brewer struggled offensively, an area in which the Bulls are lacking, and they could probably call on Jimmy Butler to help replace Brewer's outstanding defense.

Kyle Korver is the most likely to be brought back of the three bench mob players with non-guaranteed contracts (Watson & Brewer being the other two), but he's also the highest-paid. The Bulls can afford to wait and see how free agency goes before making a move on Korver; Watson and Brewer's contracts are fully guaranteed if they're not cut by July 10, but Korver's contract doesn't have a guaranteed-by date.

Ultimately, Mat thinks the Bulls will be forced to keep Korver. His skillset is too unique on the Bulls' roster and there are too many question marks at the positions he's capable of playing. Mat wouldn't be surprised, though, if Korver is gone should the Bulls find a cheaper replacement in Free Agency.

Omer Asik is the most sought-after Bulls free agent (no offense, JL3). He's a restricted free agent, though, so the Bulls have the ability to match any offers made by other teams to keep him. The team has indicated that they'll match him at all costs, and, as a former second-round draft pick, he falls under the Gilbert Arenas rule. This means he can't be offered more than the mid-level exception for the first two years of his contract, which makes him a great value for the Bulls.

There exists the very realistic possibility that a team like Houston, desperate for a center, offers Asik a back-loaded contract that prices him out of the Bulls' range. The Gilbert Arenas rule limits the amount of money Asik can make in his first two years, but a team under the salary cap can offer him a bigger payday after that. Mat can see a scenario in which Asik is offered a contract worth $28 million over 4 years that pays out $5 million in the first two years and $9 million in the last two; the Bulls might (understandably) balk at a backup center making $9 million.

Still, the Bulls seem to understand Asik's value, both as a player and as a trade chip considering his limited salary. Mat sees no reason not to take management at their word when they say Asik will be brought back.

Mat's final verdict: Korver and Asik retained; Watson, Brewer and Lucas let go.

Friday, June 29, 2012

Thibs' Contract, Not A Problem

Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau still does not have a contract extension on the original one he signed two years ago.

Mat's not worried, and fully expects Thibs to be roaming the Bulls sidelines for years to come.

The reason behind Mat's confidence is simple.  The Bulls are an elite coaching job in the NBA.  This is not some mid major school coach who can get wooed by UK.  Thibs has it made in the Windy City.

He's got one of the best players in the league.  He's got a fan base that supports the team by selling out the building night in and night out.  And he has an owner and front office who support his style and what he's trying to do.

Mat wonders what more a coach can ask for?

Usually when people deny being upset about contracts Mat scoffs and writes them off as liars.  But in this case, he truly believes Tom Thibodeau.  There is no rush to sign a deal.

Thibs was the Coach of the Year two years ago and was snubbed the award this year.  He's coming into a season where a lot is expected, but without Rose, he basically has a free pass to have a tough year.

It's a dream scenario for any coach.  Top notch franchise, top notch players, top notch facilities (and getting better), and a city that loves the team.

When they say they haven't had time to sit down and talk contracts.  Mat believes it.  When the time comes that it's truly necessary to re-up, Mat's sure the Bulls and Thibs will reach a fair deal.

Sox Success Could Open Up Doors For Bulls

With the news of Deng's likelihood to skip surgery and be ready for opening night crossing this afternoon, Mat has begun to think about the luxury tax.

With Deng and Rose out for extended periods, much to the chagrin of Mat, many believed the Bulls would somewhat reign it in this year and try to get some money off the books.

But now, with Deng expected at the beginning of the year, and Rose somewhere towards the back half, the Bulls are back in a position where they are contenders to win the NBA title.

Mat wonders how deep the Bulls pockets will be this offseason with the almost certainty that they will find themselves owing into the luxury tax with most moves.

This brought Mat to thinking, can the White Sox actually assist the Bulls?  For those of you who don't know, the Sox and Bulls are owned by the same millionaire, Jerry Reinsdorf.

Reinsdorf is the kind of owner who wants to make money, but is also passionate about his teams, the fans, and most importantly rings.

After a year of being "All In" the Sox used much of the offseason to cut some payroll and were expecting, though they'd never admit it, a down year.  But they are actually playing quite well, and have a shot at making something happen in a bad Central division.

Mat knows that the Sox have attendance issues that the Bulls most certainly do not.  But he also knows that when the Sox have a winning team, usually around August and September, fans start to buy in, literally.

If the Sox make the postseason, they will make a boatload more money than anyone in the front office ever imagined out of this team.  Therefore, the owner will have more money to play around with.

This just might mean that Jerry is more willing to dip into those extra funds and go a bit further into the luxury tax than most might have expected.

Mat knows he's probably reaching on this one by making such a direct comparison, but the fact is, if the Sox are good, the Bulls owner has more money.  Which Mat clearly sees as a positive.

Luol Deng to Skip Surgery, Start Opening Night?

Tom Thibodeau has reportedly told ESPN Radio's Waddle & Silvy program that Luol Deng will not have surgery to repair ligaments in his left wrist after the Olympics, and the small forward will be ready to start the season with the team.

Mat's immediate reaction is to be very, very wary. Luol Deng had easily the worst shooting season of his career last season, and it's hard not to chalk that up to the injury. Throw in the training staff's spotty history and Thibs's tendency to play guys even when they shouldn't be in, and it seems like a dicey experiment.

Upon closer look, though, Mat can see the argument for playing through. Luol knows his body -- knew his body better than team doctors when they implied he was playing up what turned out to be a fractured leg -- and if he's become acclimated to the pain, if it's gotten better to any degree, if he thinks he can make it through another season as a productive player? That's his prerogative.

Furthermore, there's no definitive proof of causation between Deng's wrist injury and his poor field goal percentage. He wasn't exactly lighting the world on fire before he got hurt (43.1% FG) and he actually had a better field goal percentage in the month following the injury (41.7%) than he ended up with on the season (41.2%). He closed out the last month of the season on an uptick (42.4% FG) and put up a solid 45.6% from the field in the playoffs.

Deng has had a similar outlier season on the other end of the spectrum, shooting 51.7% from the field in 2006-07. The two seasons are almost exactly as far removed from his career average: 2006-07 was 52 points higher, '11-12 was 53 points lower.

Obviously, Mat still has reservations about this decision. Deng didn't lose his shooting stroke; he shot 36.7% from three at a career-high volume. Part of his decreased efficiency was due to subpar midrange shooting, but it's also because he lost his ability to attack, drawing fouls at a career-low rate. That, above all else, seems directly attributable to a desire to avoid pain.

Until Deng continues to struggle, though, Mat is willing to give Lu the benefit of the doubt.

Mat also thinks this helps explain the Bulls' draft and pretty significantly affects how they will approach free agency, but he'll have more on that later.

Bulls Division Draft Grades (Indiana)

Indiana Pacers - Miles Plumlee C Duke, Orlando Johnson SG Santa Barbara

Mat is not to sure on either of these picks.  Plumlee is an addition to an already well stocked stable and Johnson has all the size and stats in the world, but he did it all at Santa Barbara.

What is Miles Plumlee?  Well, he's a good rebounder, solid defender, with limited offensive game, and is a team first guy.  Sound like anyone else the Pacers have?  Maybe Tyler Hansbrough, Jeff Foster, Lou Amundson, Jeff Pendergraph.

How many of these guys do the Pacers need?  One is usually enough, but not for Indiana.  They need 5.  Plumlee is a nice player.  But he by no means fills a need of the Pacers, which is scoring the basketball.  Perry Jones, Jeff Taylor, or Quincy Miller were all there for the taking at 26 when the Pacers snatched Plumlee.

But Mat's not complaining.  The Pacers are the Bulls main competition, and to see them not improve an areas of need with their first pick makes Mat smile.

Orlando Johnson is a great unknown.  His numbers indicate he can score, both in the lane and from behind the arc.  He has good size for his position (6'5", 220).  But no one outside of the scout circles really knows much about this guy.

And based on the fact that he fell all the way to 36, and then was traded for just cash, Mat's pretty sure his talents were not overwhelming to most scouts eyes.

Could he be a good player?  Sure.  Could he be a nobody?  Maybe.  The Pacers didn't give up really anything to get him, so I guess he's worth the risk.

Grade - D

Bulls Division Draft Grades (Milwaukee)

Milwaukee Bucks - John Henson PF North Carolina, Doron Lamb SG Kentucky

At 14 and 42, the Bucks took advantage of the depth of this draft.

Neither Henson nor translate to All Stars in the mind of Mat, but both have a fine chance of being perennial starters in the league.

John Henson seems like a somewhat low risk pick.  He comes from a good school, where he had success, and put up pretty solid numbers.  He's a little on the light side weighing only 215 on a near 7 foot frame.  But that shouldn't be a problem once some NBA strength coaches get their hands on him.

Mat sees Henson as the kind of player every team needs.  Good rebounder, nice defender, and not going to make a ton of mistakes.  Safe pick, but a solid one.

Lamb does one thing.  Shoots the ball.  When Doron Lamb is open, you can put three points on the board.  He lacks some explosiveness and is not an impressive defender.  But he fits in perfectly with Brandon Jennings.

Jennings will do all the leg work, and Lamb can sit back and spot up for wide open treys.

Like Henson at 14, Lamb is a relatively safe pick at 42.  You know what your getting, and it's likely the strengths he showed in college will translate into the pros.

Grade - B

Bulls Division Draft Grades (Detroit)

Detroit Pistons - Andre Dummond C Connecticut, Khris Middleton PF, Texas A&M, Kim English SG Missouri

Mat loves one pick, hates one pick, and is still trying to decide on the other.  Place your bets. (Insert Price is Right sounds here). Ladies, does he have at least one correct?

Ok, enough with the games.  Drummond is the one Mat hates, Middleton is the one he loves, and English is the can't decide.

We'll start with Middleton.  Mat remembers the time before Khris went down to injury.  When he was an elite player in the Big 12, and had a lot of people betting on a Texas A&M conference championship due to his talents.

Mat's not surprised he dropped all the way down to pick 39, but thinks Middleton is a project with a lot of talent and was a great risk at that spot.  If he can get back to being fully healthy, and back to what he was looking like he was going to grow into, this could be a steal of the draft.

Andre Drummond.  Where does Mat start?  He's big.  That's about all he does for Mat.  The guy can't rebound, has no offensive game when he has the basketball, and is one of the worst FT shooters in college basketball history (29%).

All Drummond can do is block the occasional shot, and throw down a wide open alley oop.  It his time at UConn, Mat saw very little to make him think this guy's game can translate to the pros, let alone make him a lottery pick.

Mat might be wrong on this guy (probably not), but one thing he knows he's got right is that if Drummond is on the floor in the 4th quarter of a close game, Hack-An-Dre should be in full effect until the rules no longer allow it.

Lastly is Kim English.  Mat has a soft spot for players from Mizzou as a portion of his brain has ties to the school.  However, if Mat were to choose a Tiger to have on his team, it would be Marcus Denmon, not Kimmie English.

English can make some shots, get to the hoop, and play solid defense.  But he is his own worst enemy. It took him almost an entire season to get over his shooting woes his junior year, mainly because he was too hard on himself.  In college he was a well above average player, and he had problems mentally, can't imagine what might happen if/when he struggles early on in his NBA career.

Grade - C-

Bulls Division Draft Grades (Cleveland)

Cleveland Cavaliers - Dion Waiters SG Syracuse, Tyler Zeller PF North Carolina

The Cavs got two players who were solid in college.  Both had their special games, but neither struck Mat as superstars in their times at school.

Waiters seemed to Mat like a stretch at pick 4.  Dion did not start a single game at Syracuse.  Mat knows sometimes college talent explodes at the professional level, but not able to break the top 5 on a college team doesn't scream lottery pick.

Mat likes Zeller and believes he has a chance to be a nice impact player in the center of that lineup, but feels that the 3 picks they gave up might have been too much.  The trade was 17 (Zeller) for 23, 33, and 34.  It's not to say Mat is sold on any of the 3 guys the Mavs got, because he most certainly isn't and is pretty sure Zeller will be the best of the 4 involved, but to move up 6 picks, it seemed like a hefty price.

Overall Mat applauds the Cavs for taking some risks.  They certainly have built themselves a nice little core.  But they are still a long way from the glory days of the #6 era in Cleveland.

Grade - B

Dissecting Marquis Teague

With the 29th pick of the 2012 NBA Draft the Chicago Bulls selected Marquis Teague point guard out of the University of Kentucky. Mat was hearing plenty of rumors of Tyshawn Taylor and various amounts of small forward prospects, but the drafting of Teague caught this mouse by surprise.

Previous to the pick, Mat was very vocal in his displeasure with the possibility of his Bulls drafting a backup point guard to bridge the gap while Rose was out. He would have much rather seen coverage for Luol Deng's absence be drafted with the 29th pick.

However, the fact that Teague was the starting point guard on essentially a very quality D-League team in college has grown on Mat. His experience running the offense for the national champions falls right in line with what GarPax usually looks for out of their draft picks, which is reputable college and big game experience.

Teague is 6'2" in height and weighs 180 pounds. For his position and height he walks around with a very solid frame. He is a psychical specimen not to be overlooked. His explosiveness while running the point at Kentucky was another of his strong suits. Time and time again defensives couldn't deny him the ability to get to the rim. Similar, in some ways, to how Rose plays the game. Mat believes this will come in handy when speaking to the issue of fluidity without Rose on the floor this season.

His work on the pick and roll at Kentucky was lauded amongst experts. Mat noticed his ability to work with the likes of Anthony Davis and others which turned them into such a success. Imagining running this type of pick and roll with Boozer, Jo, or Taj makes Mat salivate. Hopefully that part of his game can translate well to the Bulls offense.

His defense is something of a project. Coach Thibs is the perfect person to take on this project as well. Teague has the psychical tools to matchup well with NBA PGs, but the question is how much will his size hinder his performance on that end of the court.

Mat believes his consistency is a huge question mark. His jump shot has been a cause for concern all through out his college career. A PG playing Thibs' system is usually asked to handle a portion of the scoring for the offense, and Mat believes this will be a key to the Bulls success without Rose on the floor. Considering Teague will most likely see plenty of minutes without the starting PG on the floor, this will be a huge issue as to whether or not he can adapt to a much longer schedule against much better competition night in and night out. If he can stay consistent, we may see something of a prodigy being molded right in front of our eyes.

Overall, Mat believes Teague is a project. A project that will see an increased amount of NBA time so he will literally be growing right before our eyes this upcoming season. As previously stated, a better pick could have been made at that position. Mat believes a small forward in that spot would have aided the Bulls in coping with the loss of a integral portion of their minutes and defense in reference to Deng. Signing a veteran point guard in the offseason made more sense from a stand point that PG means a lot more to the Bulls offensively.

Mat congratulates Marquis Teague and wishes him well on his endeavors with the Bulls, just as he would with any new member of the team. He looks forward to seeing him running the point hiding amidst the shadows of the Madhouse. Truth be told, he misses seeing his beloved Bulls play in general.

Go Bulls.

Thursday, June 28, 2012

Mat Wants Terrance Jones

The Bulls are currently slotted to pick 29th in tonight's draft.

At 29, the Bulls are not expected to get a difference maker.  Not for 2012-13, not onwards, and especially if they take the guy Mat mentioned earlier.

So Mat suggests a subtle move.  A move that would send the Bulls up the draft board about 10 to 15 spots.  Somewhere in the range of one of those 3 Rockets picks between 10-20 (picks 12, 16, and 18).

Mat believes Terrance Jones is going to be one of the top players of this draft when it's looked back upon in 5 or 6 years.

Jones finds himself somewhere along the lines of 15-20 on most mock drafts.  Which means that when the Rockets are on the clock at 12, he's probably there.

The Rockets stacked up these picks to attempt to make a run at Dwight Howard and Deron Williams.  It may still happen, but if it doesn't, they are "stuck" with all of these mid-first round picks.

This is where the Bulls come in.  The Bulls have some assets in the form of pick 29 this year, the Charlotte pick, future firsts or seconds, and even Mirotic.

Mat knows a deal can be made if the Rockets do indeed feel they will not be able to move the 3 picks to get Howard.

Mat's not sold on much in this draft, but he is sold on Jones.  And if he starts slipping down that board, the Bulls would really help themselves to be opportunistic, jump up there, and snatch Terrance Jones.

With the 29th pick in the 2012 NBA Draft, the Chicago Bulls select...Tyshawn Taylor?

Vin Parise, college basketball insider for NBC Sports, cites sources that say the Bulls plan to draft Kansas point guard Tyshawn Taylor with their first-round pick.

At 29, it's hard to argue with a best-player-available strategy. Still, Mat questions the logic behind drafting a fringe-first rounder that happens to play the same position as the team's franchise player.

Popular opinion has long held that the Bulls would draft a swingman with their first rounder and look to find a veteran stopgap to fill in while Rose was hurt, from pipe dreams of Steve Nash to more reasonable hopes for Jason Kidd or even the return of Kirk Hinrich. This plan, while perhaps not ideal, seemed to be the best way for the Bulls to cover holes in the roster. Mat thinks the drafting of Taylor would be a wrench in that plan.

If the Bulls still plan to sign an experienced point guard, it leaves few financial avenues to find someone to take Luol Deng's spot at the beginning of the season when he's out following surgery on his wrist, or to replace the potentially departing Ronnie Brewer and Kyle Korver.

If this move means Taylor is the team's primary backup to Rose to begin the season, it's almost a double-edged sword: Taylor will struggle, as rookies do, if asked to shoulder a significant load at the beginning of the season. By the time any rewards can be drawn from that experience, he will be limited to around 10 minutes per game backing up Derrick Rose

There, of course, also remains the question of Taylor's talent level. ESPN's Chad Ford and DraftExpress.com both project him to go in the second round. He struggled mightily with perhaps the primary responsibility of a point guard: taking care of the ball. Mat is not enamored with a four-year senior who turned the ball over 3.5 times a game with only 4.8 assists to show for it.

Taylor is certainly a capable scorer and a tenacious defender, which are both attributes the point guard in Tom Thibodeau's offensive system should possess. Still, even if the Bulls fell in love with those strengths and thought he was capable of overcoming his weaknesses, Mat thinks they should be able to trade back into the second round. It's possible that they could even buy a pick at the top of the second round, where Taylor should still be available.

Otherwise? Stick with the best player available at a position of need.

Wednesday, June 27, 2012

What it Takes to Move Joakim

A "headline grabbing move" is the only way to get Noah out of Chicago.  So says Bill Ingram, @TheRocketGuy.

In other words, it's Dwight Howard to the Bulls, or Noah isn't going anywhere.

Mat used to love the idea of Dwight to the Bulls.  Then he began to sour on Howard as Dwight's childish behaviors became more and more apparent as his time in Orlando appeared to be running out.

But now that the Bulls situation has changed a bit, Mat's back on board for the Howard/Rose combo. 

As mentioned in the article by Ingram, Howard could keep the Bulls afloat until Rose gets back, and then they work together to bring home rings.  Seems very simple to Mat.

But there's more to the deal than just Howard and Rose playing together.  It also takes a number of other possible destinations out of the picture for Dwight.  Right now Mat doesn't think the Magic can win, with or without Howard.  But he does think if Dwight ends up in Dallas or Brooklyn, there is another power team the Bulls would have to contend with to win a title.

Mat knows that Deng, Noah, and maybe more is a huge price, but there's nothing more valuable in the NBA than a dominant big man, especially when you have a dominant point guard.

As Mat understands, it's a long shot.  And may be getting longer as free agency grows nearer and nearer.  But Mat does believe it's worth a look.  A nice long look. One that might even result in the biggest blockbuster in Bulls history.

What To Do With #29?

With the NBA Draft taking place tomorrow night, much has been made about what the Bulls will do with the 29th pick. Mat previously entertained the thrones of trade ideas that came about involving various scenarios that probably won’t happen anyways.

This provoked Mat to begin to think about the possibilities of who the Bulls might actually take in that 29th spot and how they would translate to the Bulls roster immediately. After perusing various mock drafts and reading copious amounts of scouting reports, Mat feels these players would be good options to take at 29 tomorrow night:

Jeff Taylor SF Vanderbilt

Mat believes his game at Vanderbilt would translate well to the Bulls over time in many positive ways. He is an athletic small forward whose size at 6’7” translates well to the NBA game. Mat believes his most important asset he brings to the floor is his defensive ability. A noted lockdown defender that would bring a much needed bridge between the gap of missing Luol Deng. Mat has seen him use his athletic ability well while running the floor for Vandy

His 3 point shooting is nothing to scoff at either, shooting a very good 42% for Vandy last year. Where he struggles is with his ball handling. Mat has noticed his ability to create his own shot is somewhat concerning.

His consistency at the NBA level would come into question as well. For Mat, this prospect would be good to take a shot on at 29. He has shown incredible defensive and 3 point prowess. Thibs could do some work on this kid.

Will Barton SF Memphis

Mat has seen this small forwards ability to score and it has intrigued him. His instinct to get to the basket and create his own shot is something that is NBA ready right now. Mat believes it is an intangible the Bulls are looking for immediately. Helping out Rose with the scoring is never a bad thing, and Barton would certainly be able to do that.

His size at 6’6” and overall body is something of a concern. He has above average defense in college, but the question arises as to whether he would be able to guard the bigger SF’s and/or SG’s he would encounter in the NBA.

Mat believes a player of his capabilities would adapt well on the offensive end in the Bulls scheme, however the overall readiness of his NBA defense leaves something to be desired.

Quincy Miller SF Baylor

Mat noticed this kids size and was immediately impressed. 6’10” at the 3? Yes please. Quincy has a noted knack for creating his own shot. Give him the ball and his handles come into play. Above average 3 point shooter, but where Quincy comes in handy is when he is asked to shoot from mid range.

His height makes him a nuisance in the post. Noted at Baylor for his ability to post up down low and create a shot. Mat can only imagine Rose bringing the ball up and already seeing Quincy establishing a presence down low with his 7’4” wingspan.

His defense is above average as well, but his size makes him that much more of a presence guarding across a multitude of positions. Mat has noticed however his jumper leaves a little more to be desired, in addition to his lanky frame causing him to not be as strong as he should be. Quincy is also young. At just 19, Mat has to question his ability to come into a mature league and show what he is made of.



Mat obviously has a preference of the Bulls drafting a small forward to cover for Luol’s early season absence. However, regardless of what the Bulls do, everyone knows Mat cannot wait. All this talk of trades and draft picks is making this mouse a tad bit anxious.

Tuesday, June 26, 2012

The Brandon Roy Scratch and Win Lotto Ticket

The Bulls are reportedly interested in the services, and knees, of once "retired" Brandon Roy.

Brandon Roy used to be a superstar.  Then his knees started to deteriorate due to a rare condition in which he lacks cartilage between some of his bones.

Mat's not so sure that compiling knee injuries is the ticket to the top, but that being said, if Brandon Roy is the right price, he's certainly worth a flier.

Roy is a guy who used to give you 20 points a game.  Odds are he won't be able to return to that form, but if the knees can hold up, he's certainly an answer to the "who else can create a shot" syndrome the Bulls have been facing.

Mat usually prefers known commodities.  Say a Steve Nash, Jason Kidd, or Tyreke Evans, as opposed to draft picks or injury rehab projects, but this one strikes him differently.

Brandon Roy retired.  Done with basketball forever.  Now he suddenly wants back in?  Sounds like a guy who not only has something to prove, but who might not be opposed to proving it for a fraction of the cost he used to make.

Mat salivates over the idea of a healthy Rose, Deng, and Roy on the court at the same time.  He knows it's a pipe dream here on the 26th of June, but what else is the offseason for?

Derrick on NBA 2K13 Cover

Despite likely being out for a portion of the season, Derrick Rose it has been announced that D-Rose will grace the cover of the newest version of 2K Sports NBA video game.

Derrick will join fellow young studs/Kevins, Kevin Love and Kevin Durant.

Mat has trouble playing video games due to his lack of opposable thumb and incredibly small phalanges.

This being said, Mat will likely attempt to barter his extra cheese bits for a copy at the local GameStop.

This marks the third straight year in which a Bull will be on the cover.

The Cost of Success

While the rumors of Luol-Deng-to-Golden-State have mercifully been shut down on two fronts (an effective leak by the Bulls organization), there may still be an underlying truth to them that makes Mat uncomfortable. KC Johnson, who historically has been the most well-connected beat writer, didn't say the trade didn't work for the team from a talent perspective. As it is all too often for a team in a market as large as Chicago (and much to Jessie J's dismay), it appears to have been all about the price tag:
"The entire purpose of trading Deng, which management isn't dying to do, would be to do so to a team that can absorb Deng's contract into its salary-cap space, thus eliminating the need to take back salary."
That the Bulls might be willing to dump a 27-year-old All-Star forward for the #7 pick in a draft bereft of sure-things seems like a huge red flag. Mat is fine with moving Deng if the talent coming back is satisfying (like, say, in a certain trade proposal in this post). If it's just a financial maneuver, though? That should be an unacceptable return for arguably your second-best player.

Mat understands the logic behind it: Derrick Rose is hurt, so next season might be a lost cause; the new CBA has harsh luxury tax penalties; Deng is overpaid. Might as well retool the team under the constraints of the new system and see if you luck into getting a more capable sidekick for Rose, right?

Except: Rose will come back* -- around March, perhaps, splitting the difference between eight and 12 months. Suddenly next season isn't such a lost cause. The harsher luxury tax penalties don't kick in until 2013-14, and the Bulls won't be in danger of the ultra-severe repeater tax until after Deng's contract expires and Boozer's enters its final year, making him significantly easier to trade.

The Bulls could easily ride this very, very talented roster for another two years, contend for those years, and adjust the roster to the new salary cap after that with few repercussions. They just have to be willing to pay the price.

Jerry Reinsdorf said he'd consider paying the tax for a contender. Unless you've got the most stringent definition of "contender" in the world, Mat thinks two consecutive years with the best record in the league probably qualifies. It's taken over a decade for the Bulls to get to this point post-dynasty; management should appreciate how rare it is to build a team of this caliber.

Two years of luxury tax payments to find out what this group of players is capable of when fully healthy should be a small price to pay for the most profitable team in the league -- particularly when the reward could be invaluable.

*Mat knocked on wood for one hour straight after typing these words. Mat's knuckles are raw and bloody, but all jinxes should be warded off.

Monday, June 25, 2012

Lu-mors

The two teams who's names continue to surface when talking about Lu-mors (Luol Deng Rumors), are the Warriors and the Kings.

The Warriors (#7) apparently had a scout in London watching Luol, and the Kings are looking for a small forward and may feel as though Deng is a better option than whatever they can find at pick #5.

Mat was pleased when he read that the Bulls have assured Luol that he is not headed to Golden State.

Sam Smith brought up the intriguing (as he coined it) idea of moving Luol to Sacramento.

Mat likes the idea of Tyreke Evans as the replacement for Derrick during the injury.  He also loves the idea of Tyreke and Derrick playing together.

Mat also has high regards for a number of players towards the top 5 of Thursday's draft.  Among them, Kidd-Gilchrist, Barnes, Lamb and Rivers.

This being said, Mat's not so sure that there's a package out there that includes both Tyreke and #5.

Luol, #29, and a future pick for Tyreke and #5?  Luol and Noah for Tyreke, #5, and a future pick?  What about just moving Noah?  Noah and #29 for Tyreke and #5?

Mat's done making up rumors.

Bulls get Tyreke and #5, Mat will likely be happy.  Bulls get just #5, Mat's most likely sad, unless a high level free agent PG comes with.

Mat's Getting Mad

Mat has already sounded off once about media types saying the Bulls may not make the playoffs next year, but now he's hearing it again and is starting to get really frustrated.

The little birdie on Mat's computer screen alerted him that a well respected Bull beat writer says the Bulls "know they will struggle this season."

Mat highly doubts Tom Thibodeau thinks the Bulls are going to "struggle."  He also doesn't believe Jo Noah, Taj Gibson, or Carlos Boozer feel that way either.

Will they win 70+% of their games?  Mat doesn't think so.  But Mat knows that Gar and Pax will work diligently to make this team better.  Be it through the draft and/or free agency.

Heck, there are enough trade rumors floating around they this team may look completely different by Thursday.

One way or the other Mat knows it will not be a cake walk in 2012-13 until Rose returns.  But struggle?  Mat begs to differ.


Sunday, June 24, 2012

Deng Won't Be Surprised If Moved

Mat reads about the Bulls all day every day during the offseason.  And the latest hot button topic on the Bulls beat is rumors surrounding Luol Deng.

Moving Luol Deng is not on Mat's short list of things the Bulls need to accomplish this offseason.  But Mat is certainly not opposed to the move, given the right package is sent in return.

Trading Luol comes would open up some space for the Bulls to make a splash in the Free Agent market either this year or next.  But at the same time, Luol has only gotten better in his time with the Bulls and has put himself on the precipice of becoming an elite player.

But as always with trades, Mat can only evaluate a deal when he knows what both sides are receiving.

If he had his choice, Mat would most likely choose for Deng to stay.  But if the right deal comes along, we are in the business of winning.

All Mat wants is rings, and whatever will help the Bulls get them, he's on board with.

Thursday, June 21, 2012

How About Jason Kidd?

After coming up with a few options of his own regarding the new Bulls point guard, Mat ran across another idea that he really likes.

Bryan Crawford of NBC Chicago recently penned the possibility of Jason Kidd joining the Bulls roster this offseason.

Mat believes the addition of a veteran point guard is not only smart for coverage purposes, but also for the mentoring role Kidd could bring to Rose and his teammates alike.

Mat, whilst discussing with his other mouse friends the future of the Bulls backup point guard position, came to the conclusion that where Kidd's influence would really shine is actually after the return of Rose from his knee injury. The thought of Kidd coming off the bench for Rose and changing the pace of the game would provide the Bulls a much needed new dimension to their overall basketball repertoire.

Mat also salivates at the thought of Coach Thibs drawing up late game sets in which both Kidd and Rose are on the floor together. Adding something like that late in the game would be a game-changer.

The next question that arises is one to do with the Bulls dwindling availability with salary cap space. Could they even pull off a Kidd signing? Mat's answer to that is simple; yes. Kidd has openly stated he is willing to fill in for Rose during the injury time, and as Mat mentioned when talking about Dragic, if Kidd wants another ring there is no better place to look than Chicago.

Mat expects the Bulls to make a valiant effort for the services of Kidd. Overall, his control of a basketball game will play off of the high tempo and electrifying abilities of Rose. Mat knows for certain this type of move will cause plenty of regular season match up constraints for opponents of the Red and Black, and those should continue well into the 2013 postseason.

So Long C.J.

Bulls backup/de facto starting point guard C.J. Watson's contract requires the Bulls to pick up a team option worth $3.2 million in order for him to remain in Chicago. 

Watson has been heard saying that he would like to remain a Bull, but isn't sure the team has the cap room to make such a thing possible.

Mat likes C.J. Watson and doesn't want Bulls fans' final memory of him being his ill advised pass to Omer in Game 6.

That being said, Mat believes the Bulls would be better served to explore other options.  Watson is a solid backup, but the $3.2 million he's owed could probably be spent in a wiser way.

Mat would love for Steve Nash to take a "slight" pay cut and fill in for D-Rose, but he knows this is about as likely as one of the Luvabulls saying yes to his date invitations.

Mat would love to see the Bulls pursue Goran Dragic.  He will certainly have a number of suitors, but the Bulls offer an attractive package.  Aside from the financial, Dragic would be guaranteed the starting role until D-Rose returns, and then would be an integral piece in what would certainly be a contending team.  Seeing as Dragic has not been in the post season in the past few years, and only once in his career, it makes quite a bit of sense for him to consider the Bulls.

There are certain other options out there.  Jeremy Lin? Kirk Hinrich? Chauncey Billups and his bum achilles?

Mat wouldn't be sad if C.J. returns to the Bulls, but he believes the Bulls front office brain trust can find a more suitable option at PG until the MVP returns.

Derrick Rose's Jersey is Wildly Popular

It's been revealed that Derrick Rose's jersey is the most popular in America, second in Europe and Asia, and third in Latin America.

Mat believes that he is due some (most) of the credit as he proudly wears his D-Rose jersey every single day.

It does surprise Mat that Derrick's jersey was that popular this year.  In a year in which Derrick was out for a majority of the season, and the Bulls were eliminated in the first round, more Rose jerseys were sold than every other player in the league outside of Kobe.

It's astounding when you look at the fact that this is just Rose's 4th year in the league and he's not exactly the loud self promoting type such as a #6, Kobe, or Dwight Howard.

Top sales in America is amazing in itself, but the fact that his popularity has now grown to an enormous level this quickly in China, Europe, and Latin America thrills Mat.

Mat just hopes that a majority of the people who purchased those jerseys aren't afraid to come out to the UC at the beginning of the year if, and when, Derrick is not in the lineup.

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

D-Rose Ahead Of Schedule

Though the Bulls have been eliminated for almost 2 months now, Mat has found some news that has him jumping for joy.

Nick Friedell of ESPN Chicago is reporting that Derrick Rose is "ahead of schedule" in the rehab process following the injury to his ACL.
"He's ahead of schedule. [The rehab] is a way to keep things fresh for Derrick, to help give him some variety." -Dr. Brian Cole, who performed surgery
Nothing would please Mat more than to see the MVP back on the court sooner than later.

Mat doesn't want the Bulls to even think about rushing Derrick back, and knows that people heal at their own pace when it comes to ACL surgeries.

But D-Rose is a warrior, and he will do all he can to get back as soon as he can.

Mat just hopes it's closer to the 8 month mark than the 12.

No Rose, No Deng, No Problem

Mat is fed up with the national and local pundits who are already counting the Bulls out for next year.  From ESPN to Comcast Sports Net Chicago, pretty much every "expert" is claiming that the Bulls are going to have a tough time next season without Derrick and Luol in the lineup for an extended period.

While Mat does agree that wins will not be easy to come by, he disagrees that the Bulls are not a contender to win the NBA Finals next year.

16 teams make the playoffs, which means more than half of the league qualify.  Mat cannot fathom a Tom Thibodeau lead team not being able to be among the top 8 in the Eastern Conference.

A conference including the Bobcats, Cavaliers, Wizards, Raptors, and Nets.  Mat knows the Bulls are not the same team without its 2 stars, but to think they are not in the top 53% of the East boggles his little mind.

Mat doesn't believe that Derrick will be out for the entire year, and he certainly doesn't think Deng will be out past the All Star Break.  So, all the Bulls need to do is tread water for the first few months.

If they can stay in the mix, maybe within 3 or 4 games of 8th place, which should be a given, for the first half of the year, Mat asks why they can't use the second half of the year, with a healthy Deng, and eventually Rose, to make their push into the postseason.

Then, if the Bulls end up making the playoffs, they will have Rose and both on fresh legs having played only a few months of basketball.  Might have to take down #6 and the Heat a little earlier than planned, but there's no convincing Mat that the Bulls can't get it done.

The goal for the regular season may have changed, but the ultimate goal remains.  Mat thinks the Bulls have what it takes to get in, you tell him if they are contenders with a healthy squad and a 7 or 8 seed.

Omer's Future As A Bull

Omer Asik is set to become a restricted free agent on July 1st.  This means that Omer is free to explore the options of playing for other teams, but the Bulls have the opportunity to match any team's offer and keep Omer in a Bulls jersey.

Mat loves Omer.  Maybe too much, as Mat was heard telling his buddies that Omer's injury was a key reason why the Heat took the Bulls out in that awful ECF series.

Mat knows that Omer is probably never going to be an elite big man, or even a starter for the Bulls, but he does feel that Omer is the perfect compliment to Jo.

Omer has been improving defensively at a swift rate and is actually becoming a force under the hoop.  His offensive prowess is not moving along quite as quickly, but he is certainly a heck of a lot better now than he was when he first donned a Bulls tank top.

Bulls GM Gar Forman responded to a few questions on Bulls.com recently including these remarks on Omer.
 “Omer is very, very important to us.  We see him as a key piece of our team moving forward."
"We think he has shown the potential to continue to improve, and it's our goal that Omer Asik will be a Chicago Bull in the foreseeable future"
These comments make Mat smile.  But he knows that other teams will be after Omer, if not only just to put some pressure on the Bulls to match an offer sheet.

Thursday, June 14, 2012

Introducing Mat the Mouse

This is Mat A. Dor, the voice of Mouse in the Madhouse.

Mat is a mouse that lives inside of the United Center.  He attends every game, and has a tiny little laptop that lets him stream road games in 1080p.
 
Mat knows more about the Bulls than you, I or anyone else could ever imagine.  Mat lives, sleeps, and breathes Chicago Bulls basketball.

We here at Mouse in the Madhouse are here to bring you all of Mat's thoughts, feelings, and predictions about the Bulls and the rest of the NBA.

So welcome to Mouse in the Madhouse, send your greetings to Mat down in the comments, and be sure to mention his new headband, he just got it and is amped about it.